{"id":57825,"date":"2017-01-08T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2017-01-07T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/richardvanhooijdonk.com\/blog\/death-from-above-terrorists-and-drones\/"},"modified":"2019-10-11T14:04:50","modified_gmt":"2019-10-11T12:04:50","slug":"death-from-above-terrorists-and-drones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.richardvanhooijdonk.com\/en\/death-from-above-terrorists-and-drones\/","title":{"rendered":"Death from above: terrorists and drones"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"bold-list\">\n<li>ISIS doesn\u2019t need the latest Predator drone<\/li>\n<li>Commercial drones have already found their place in the terrorist\u2019s plans<\/li>\n<li>Small commercial drones are a big problem<\/li>\n<li>Swarms of death \u2013 the future of the battlefield<\/li>\n<li>No easy responses to the threat of flying bombs<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote style=\"margin-top: 25px\"><p>\u201cWhile UAVs have many positive applications, it\u2019s expected that they\u2019ll be used increasingly for malicious purposes &#8211; they can carry cameras, weapons, toxic chemicals and explosives &#8211; and be used increasingly for terrorism, espionage and smuggling purposes.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><em>\u2014 Colin Bullock, CEO of Enterprise Control Systems<\/em><\/p>\n<h2>ISIS doesn\u2019t need the latest Predator drone<\/h2>\n<p>When you think of drones as weapons of war, you probably imagine the military versions flown by the US or Russia. These expensive, high-tech aircraft allow major militaries to tirelessly patrol the skies, striking enemy targets as they become available. But they are as effective as they are expensive, far out of the reach of even the best funded terror groups. But ISIS doesn\u2019t need the latest Predator drone. The terrifying truth is that inexpensive, readily available unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly being used as tools of murder by ISIS and other terrorist organisations. You need to know why and how this trend is developing.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_32301\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-32301\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-32301 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.richardvanhooijdonk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2019\/05\/Isis-drone-1.jpg\" alt=\"A military drone flying over a barren landscape\" width=\"800\" height=\"534\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-32301\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">The terrifying truth is that inexpensive, readily available unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly being used as tools of murder by ISIS and other terrorist organisations.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Commercial drones have already found their place in the terrorist\u2019s plans<\/h2>\n<p>Drones are far more than remote controlled vehicles. When fitted with a camera and mobile, they provide wireless control at a distance. They\u2019re nimble and fast, small and cheap. Widely available from big box stores and Amazon, drones are everywhere. And they\u2019re a growing threat that has experts concerned. Commercial drones have already found their place in the terrorist\u2019s plans.<\/p>\n<p>According to Tech Insider\u2019s Danielle Muoio, ISIS included reconnaissance drones in its Fallujah campaign in Iraq, scouting Iraqi military positions and planning a coordinated attack. Again in 2014, ISIS flew the same style of drone prior to capturing the Taqba airbase. A third such incident was recorded in 2015, when ISIS shared video of their drone recon of the Baiji oil refinery complex. These drones were the ubiquitous DJI Phantom, a common consumer UAV available on Amazon for about $450. Fitted with a GoPro camera, this tiny drone, only a bit bigger than a dinner plate, is an ideal reconnaissance platform.<\/p>\n<p>We suggest that you see this as a settle pattern, not a series of one-offs. ISIS knows that the Phantom can scout defences. It can map streets. It can locate soldiers and command posts. It can watch for approaching police to better time a secondary explosion. Unfortunately, that\u2019s not the limit of these small, capable UAVs.<\/p>\n<h2>Small commercial drones are a big problem<\/h2>\n<p>Commercial drones are a major threat because they are so inexpensive and widely available. Anti-UAV systems, by contrast, are hideously expensive and not nearly as effective as you\u2019d hope. Blighter, for instance, developed perhaps the most advanced commercially available anti-drone weapon, the Anti-UAV Defence System (AUDS). It\u2019s been dubbed the \u2018Drone Zapper\u2019 because of its ability to target and disable an incoming drone with RF interference, essentially killing command of the UAV. But these systems are as costly, and buyers must spend approximately $1.2 million per AUDS instillation. It\u2019s easy to see that as effective as these might be might be for securing select locations, their broad application simply isn\u2019t feasible.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, a small swarm of drones could overwhelm this expensive security system. For obvious reasons, the AUDS\u2019s limitations aren\u2019t entirely clear, but two problems are. First, buildings and other line-of-sight obstructions can limit the effectiveness of anti-UAV systems in urban areas. And second, only one drone at a time can be targeted. As Miltech Mag reports, the \u201cAUDS is capable of tracking multiple targets although only a single UAV could be disrupted at any particular moment\u2026 subsequent targets could be prioritised for follow-on neutralisation.\u201d That\u2019s less re-assuring than it sounds. A $1.2 million dollar system can only target one $450 drone at a time.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone can do the math: $1.2 million\/$450 (for the DJI Phantom preferred by ISIS) means that with equal funding, terrorists can launch almost 27,000 drones, and they can be anywhere, anytime, in overwhelming numbers. It is simply inconceivable that even stacked AUDS could deal with a drone swarm of more than several dozen UAVs, and that lowers the cost of an attack to just a few thousand euro.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Drones pose a threat in the skies\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/N3V7IpM7PGc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h2>Swarms of death \u2013 the future of the battlefield<\/h2>\n<p>The cost of overwhelming even the most sophisticated anti-drone systems is negligible. In fact, this inexpensive swarm tactic is so effective that it has already been adopted by the US military. The US Navy has launched its LOCUST program, or \u2018LOw-Cost Unmanned aerial vehicle Swarming Technology.\u2019 Tired of losing expensive aircraft to cheap countermeasures like shoulder fired rockets, the Navy is an early adopter of this new approach. Popular Science <a href=\"http:\/\/www.popsci.com\/navys-locust-launcher-fires-swarm-drones\">reports<\/a> that the new strategy avoids expensive, advanced tech; the emerging plan \u201cis instead to throw lots of smaller, cheaper robots into the sky, with a single human controlling them from afar, and let the enemy waste expensive anti-air missiles on drones, while redundant swarm members complete the mission.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Israel is in on the small drone action, too. It recently announced the Hero-30, a small, lightweight, single-use UAV that delivers a small (500g) warhead. By independently tracking its target, it can exceed the manoeuvrability of a human controller and strike moving targets such as vehicles. Virtually silent and launched at distance, these weapons are the future of the battlefield. Israel is unlikely, of course, to share this tech with the likes of ISIS and Al Qaeda. But terrorists are watching, calculating, and planning, and this is an easy, inexpensive strategy to employ.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blog.richardvanhooijdonk.com\/en\/ebooks\/terrortech-future-fire\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-17786\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.richardvanhooijdonk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2019\/05\/terrortech_en.png\" alt=\"Terror Tech The future on fire\" width=\"760\" height=\"415\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>No easy responses to the threat of flying bombs<\/h2>\n<p>Keep in mind that commercial drones aren\u2019t just flying cameras. They can lift other small payloads. In practice, this means that terrorists could construct flying IEDs to wreak havoc. A clever terrorist cell could construct pre-fragmented bombs\u2014basically an explosive charge attached to steel bearings or nails or glass\u2014and equip a drone with this deadly package. Flying low over a crowd in an urban centre or sports arena, they could detonate this explosive above their heads, killing and injuring hundreds.<\/p>\n<p>Worse yet, imagine three such drones, arriving ten minutes apart to catch first responders in secondary and tertiary strikes. We doubt that there\u2019s any effective way to prevent such attacks, and that should keep you up at night. We\u2019re not alone in our concern. ISIS has already demonstrated its grasp of drones as weapons, and <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20171203025920\/http:\/\/remotecontrolproject.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/01\/Hostile-use-of-drones-report_open-briefing.pdf\">according<\/a> to the Oxford Research Group\u2019s Remote Control Project, the \u201cIslamic State is reportedly obsessed with launching a synchronised multi-drone attack on large numbers of people in order to recreate the horrors of 9\/11.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Unfortunately, there are no easy responses to this threat<\/em><\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ISIS doesn\u2019t need the latest Predator drone Commercial drones have already found their place in the terrorist\u2019s plans Small commercial drones are a big problem Swarms of death \u2013 the future of the battlefield No easy responses to the threat of flying bombs \u201cWhile UAVs have many positive applications, it\u2019s expected that they\u2019ll be used [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45117,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2885],"tags":[4287,4679,4288],"article-type":[],"trends":[],"class_list":["post-57825","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cybercrime","tag-death","tag-drones-en-2","tag-terrorists"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Death from above: terrorists and drones - Richard van Hooijdonk Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Inexpensive UAVs Are Increasingly Used As Tools Of Murder By Terrorist Organisations. 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