{"id":57995,"date":"2018-08-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2018-08-13T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/richardvanhooijdonk.com\/blog\/the-future-may-be-more-about-working-alongside-cobots-than-about-machines-taking-all-our-jobs\/"},"modified":"2021-07-27T14:43:58","modified_gmt":"2021-07-27T12:43:58","slug":"the-future-may-be-more-about-working-alongside-cobots-than-about-machines-taking-all-our-jobs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.richardvanhooijdonk.com\/en\/the-future-may-be-more-about-working-alongside-cobots-than-about-machines-taking-all-our-jobs\/","title":{"rendered":"The future may be more about working alongside cobots than about machines taking all our jobs"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"bold-list\">\n<li>The new Luddites: wrong now as they were then<\/li>\n<li>Human workers aren\u2019t going anywhere<\/li>\n<li>Robots have real limitations<\/li>\n<li>Enter the cobot<\/li>\n<li>The future of automation: smaller, weaker, slower \u2014 and smarter<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Fear that automation is a job-killer is nothing new. All the way back in 1811, textile workers, then at the forefront of the English economy, were outraged by the introduction of labour-saving machinery. Invoking the name of an imaginary Robin Hood-like figure, King Ludd, they broke into textile mills at night, wrecking the machinery they wrongly believed would soon leave them jobless.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"The future may be more about working alongside cobots than about machines taking all our jobs\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/-svnCqooULc?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>The reality was that innovation would soon multiply the power of their labour, increasing productivity and the value of the woolen trade. Far from being a job killer, these new machines were engines of economic growth. The misguided men who attacked these machines became known as Luddites, a term that now signifies people who are irrationally opposed to technology or industrialisation, and it\u2019s as useful a description in 2018 as it was then.<\/p>\n<h2>The new Luddites: wrong now as they were then<\/h2>\n<p>Workers are uneasy now, too. Especially the low-skilled fear that a new breed of machines are coming for their jobs. There\u2019s some truth to this fear: automation of all kinds will transform the world of work. Indeed, as a Pew Research Center report <a href=\"http:\/\/www.pewinternet.org\/2014\/08\/06\/future-of-jobs\/\">predicts<\/a>, of 1,896 experts they surveyed, roughly half \u2014 48 per cent \u2014 \u201cenvision a future in which robots and digital agents have displaced significant numbers of both blue- and white-collar workers \u2014 with many expressing concern that this will lead to vast increases in income inequality, masses of people who are effectively unemployable, and breakdowns in the social order\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>This is certainly one possibility, but it\u2019s important to remember the lesson of the Luddites. A mistake that these reports often make is to think about automation in terms of <em>job<\/em> rather than <em>task<\/em> replacement. Especially in the industries most likely to feel the brunt of the coming changes, it\u2019s the back-breaking, repetitive tasks that robots will steal, a theft every factory worker can cheer. Indeed, the rise of a new kind of robot \u2014 the cooperative robot or cobot \u2014 is already changing how we work. And innovative forms of automation are increasing productivity, acting as engines of growth just as the machines of the early 19th century did \u2014 creating jobs rather than destroying them.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_30508\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-30508\" style=\"width: 800px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-30508 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.richardvanhooijdonk.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2019\/05\/cobots-1knmkmmk.jpg\" alt=\"Asian man working in lab with robot\" width=\"800\" height=\"451\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-30508\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">As good as robots are at many tasks \u2014 and they can be very, very good \u2014 human workers are still necessary, even in factories and warehouses, the places automation is easiest to implement<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>Human workers aren\u2019t going anywhere<\/h2>\n<p>That may sound counter-intuitive. How can increasing automation actually help workers? Aren\u2019t they replaced by machines? Don\u2019t some of them lose their jobs as a result?<\/p>\n<p>Consider Amazon. This e-commerce titan has a veritable army of robots working in its fulfilment centres, and it\u2019s steadily automating anything it can. But as Sarah Kessler <a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/904285\/the-optimists-guide-to-the-robot-apocalypse\/\">writes<\/a> for <em>Quartz<\/em>, \u201cThe company has over the last three years increased the number of robots working in its warehouses from 1,400 to 45,000. Over the same period, the rate at which it hires workers hasn\u2019t changed\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>As good as robots are at many tasks \u2014 and they can be very, very good \u2014 human workers are still necessary, even in factories and warehouses, the places automation is easiest to implement. On one hand, that\u2019s because automation can free people for value-added work. Instead of mind-numbing repetition, at its best, the robotic revolution promises more meaningful work. On the other, a range of technological problems still hobble automation. For instance, it\u2019s easier to send a machine to medical school than it is to teach it to clean a hotel room.<\/p>\n<h2>Robots have real limitations<\/h2>\n<p>That may sound ridiculous, but it\u2019s no less true for that. Hans Moravec, a renowned roboticist, sums it up in a pithy sentence sometimes referred to as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbinsights.com\/research\/collaborative-robots-reinvent-industries\/\">Moravec\u2019s Law<\/a>: \u201cIt is comparatively easy to make computers exhibit adult-level performance on intelligence tests or playing checkers, and difficult or impossible to give them the skills of a one-year-old when it comes to perception and mobility\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Now think about that for a moment. Tasks that we think of as easy, say, making a bed or folding a towel, are nearly unmasterable for robots. It\u2019s not logic these machines lack, it\u2019s that human knack, especially when a process involves irregular variables. When everything\u2019s the same, robots are awesome. But they struggle with difference, unpredictability, and change. For that reason, human beings will probably always find a place on the factory floor.<\/p>\n<h2>Enter the cobot<\/h2>\n<p>For a long time, the manufacturing industry\u2019s suppliers of robots were sure that big, strong, and fast was the way to go. The enormous, dangerous, expensive kind of automation you think about when you imagine industrial robotics was all the rage. \u201cRobots in factories have typically been large, caged devices that perform repetitive, dangerous work in lieu of humans\u201d, CB Insights <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbinsights.com\/research\/collaborative-robots-reinvent-industries\/\">reports<\/a>. That\u2019s changing much faster than anyone predicted. And now, advances in small, agile, smart automation are taking the industry by storm, leaving many of the giants of automation playing catch-up. As Kazuo Hariki, an executive director with the automation company Fanuc, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.japantimes.co.jp\/news\/2018\/04\/24\/business\/corporate-business\/japanese-firms-see-big-future-small-scale-industrial-robots\/#.W3LACOgzaUn\">explains<\/a>, \u201cWe didn\u2019t expect large manufacturers would want to use such robots, because those robots can lift only a light weight and have limited capabilities\u201d. What almost no one saw \u2014 only the most forward-looking grasped this idea \u2014 was that smaller, weaker, slower, and smarter were the future.<\/p>\n<h2>The future of automation: smaller, weaker, slower \u2014 and smarter<\/h2>\n<p>For instance, these cobots are small and safe, and true to their name, they offer cooperative automation. Often little larger than a person, cobots can fit where industrial-sized automation simply can\u2019t. That means that robotic help can find a place on an assembly line, in a small fabrication shop, and in tight spaces. Not only is this a logistical gift \u2014 no more safety zones or cages around dangerous robots \u2014 it means that people and machines can work side-by-side.<\/p>\n<p>As this video demonstrates, a cobot from Universal Robots can work directly with a person, increasing productivity without compromising safety:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"A collaborative robot from Universal Robots polishes Paradigm to 50% production increase\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/kOPVvYapElQ?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>This is possible because, unlike the previous generation of automation, cobots come equipped to keep their human co-workers from getting hurt. Here to help, they\u2019re no good to us if we can\u2019t work with them, and they\u2019ve been designed to keep us safe. For instance, with force feedback sensors in place, the cobot can tell when it comes into contact with an object or person, reducing its impact to avoid even the possibility of injury. They move slowly, too, along predictable paths, and that allows people to work closely with them. And as sensor tech improves, they\u2019ll be able to see what\u2019s around them, noticing a human co-worker and adjusting what they\u2019re doing to improve safety.<\/p>\n<p>Just watch this video of a person intentionally making contact with a cobot from Fanuc. The robotic arm stops instantly, with almost no impact:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Collaborative Robot Safety with Immediate Contact Stop Features\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1BUKH1r61y8?start=109&#038;feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>And they\u2019re easy to teach, too. Rather than complex programming by experts, cobots learn collaboratively. To teach a robotic arm, for instance, a worker doesn\u2019t need to do much more than guide the machine through the process, verify that it has the movements down, and then turn it loose to work. That saves time, avoids the need for expensive programming, and makes changing the robot\u2019s tasks a snap.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this video of how easy a cobot from KUKA is to program:<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Collaborative robot: easy teaching demonstrated with a KUKA iiwa\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/8IE1DItHc5k?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Cobots are here to stay, as their many advantages illustrate. And while they won\u2019t replace the last generation of automation for heavy-lifting, they\u2019re finding a new place working collaboratively with people. Designed to work <em>with<\/em> rather than <em>for<\/em> people, this automation revolution is all about worker augmentation, multiplying the power of human labour, and adding value to our work.<\/p>\n<p>So there\u2019s no need to worry: these cobots aren\u2019t here for our jobs. Instead, see them as the engines for economic growth that they are. They\u2019re not job-killers; they\u2019re really job-creators.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The new Luddites: wrong now as they were then Human workers aren\u2019t going anywhere Robots have real limitations Enter the cobot The future of automation: smaller, weaker, slower \u2014 and smarter Fear that automation is a job-killer is nothing new. All the way back in 1811, textile workers, then at the forefront of the English [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45622,"parent":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[5374],"tags":[4274,4635],"article-type":[],"trends":[5445],"class_list":["post-57995","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-work","tag-automation","tag-cobots-en-2","trends-robotics-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The future may be more about working alongside cobots than about machines taking all our jobs - Richard van Hooijdonk Blog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The future may be more about 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